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南美足联主席：为庆祝世界杯百年，2030年世界杯应扩军至64队（南美足联主席建议2030年世界杯扩至64队，以纪念百年赛事）发布日期：2026-01-16

Summarizing FIFA's decisions

Portu

So, FIFA has expanded the 2026 World Cup to 48 teams and 104 matches. The 2030 hosts are Morocco, Spain, and Portugal, with the centenary matches planned in South America. They haven't formally confirmed whether 2030 will keep the 48-team format though it seems likely. The 2034 tournament is likely going to Saudi Arabia as the sole bidder. I can provide a quick analysis or a summary if the user wants more details. It should be straightforward!Analyzing FIFA World Cup formats

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FIFA's new 48-team format changes the group stage to 12 groups of 4 teams, with the top two and 8 best third-place teams advancing to the Round of 32, totaling 104 matches. For a 64-team tournament, the structure would be 16 groups of 4, leading to 96 group matches and 32 knockout matches (16 in R32, 8 in R16, 4 in QF, 2 in SF, 1 for 3rd place, and 1 final). This totals 128 matches, which is a 24-match increase from the 48-team format.Considering match logistics for 2030

The duration of the 2030 World Cup might extend, or they could use more concurrent venues since it’s co-hosted by three countries, with three opening matches in South America. The 2026 World Cup, which has 16 host cities across the USA, Canada, and Mexico, features 104 matches. For 2030, if Spain, Portugal, and Morocco host, there could be around 18 venues combined. Running 128 matches might be challenging but feasible, though FIFA would need to approve this in Congress, considering potential scheduling conflicts with club calendars.Analyzing 2030 World Cup expansion

I shouldn't assert unknown claims, but since the user brought it up, I can treat it like a news headline for analysis. Currently, the World Cup is expanding to 48 teams starting in 2026, with 104 matches total. For 2030, the co-hosts are Spain, Portugal, and Morocco, with a South American opening match. Expanding to 64 teams would mean more matches and logistical challenges like scheduling, travel, and security. The likelihood of this change in the short term seems low, as FIFA just set the new format for 2026.

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Would you like me to follow up on this topic or create a comparison of the 64-team format?

几点快评：

既有方案：世界杯已自2026起扩军至48队（12组×4队，合计104场）。2030年主办为西班牙/葡萄牙/摩洛哥，南美（乌拉圭/阿根廷/巴拉圭）承办开幕纪念赛。
若扩至64队：最常见格式是16组×4队，组赛96场；淘汰赛32场（含季军战），总计约128场，比48队多24场、约+23%赛事量。
现实约束：场馆与城市承载、跨洲旅行与安保、赛期与俱乐部赛历冲突、球员负荷、签证与边检协调成本，都显著上升。2030的承办阵容与城市密度较2026更紧，承压更大。
动机与收益：百年纪念、更多会员协会获名额、转播与商业收入潜在增长；对南美而言也有政治与名额诉求。
通过难度：短期不高。FIFA刚为2026敲定新赛制，2030再大改阻力大；且需理事会/大会在不久的将来拍板，留给赛程、转播、基建调整的时间非常有限。
折中选项：维持48队，强化百年主题（历史场地开幕式、纪念赛事与仪式、文化项目），或在名额分配与赛程叙事上向百年致敬。

需要的话，我可以：

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做一版64队赛制可行性草案（赛程、场地、旅行与日历占用测算）；或
列出48队框架下的“百年纪念”强化方案清单。